Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Well that was quick.

I have been convinced by the arguments of lots and lots of people that reform will be more popular now that it passed. Crucially people who think current HCR doesn't go far enough won't say the oppose the bill because they want it to be amended, since it isn't a bill at all anymore it's a law (oh I like that -- the health care reform lawwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww).

I didn't expect public opinion to turn on a dime
A new Gallup poll set to appear in tomorrow's USA Today shows public opinion is turning around on Democratic health care reform efforts now that the bill has reached final passage.

A plurality of voters surveyed in the poll, 49%, said passing the bill was "a good thing" as opposed to just 40% who said the passage of the reform bill was bad for the country.

I won't do the arithmetic just now, but the change from earlier Gallup polls is definitely not due to sampling error. A 95% interval for change fraction yes minus fraction no poll to poll is less than plus or minus 2/45 or around 4.4% and recent pre-lawwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww Gaullup polls all showed at least a plurality against.

Of course Republican hacks will turn on a dime too and now argue that public opinion doesn't matter, because the people were propagandized.

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