Robert's Stochastic thoughts
Asymptotically we'll all be dead
Sunday, April 09, 2006
24 hours until polls close update
Prodi 0.25/1 Berlusconi 3.52/1
That is Prodi wins "probability" 80% Berlusconi 28.4%
betfair is not so fair taking 8.4% of money bet
Prodi/(prodi+berlusconi) = 73.8%
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