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Wednesday, November 03, 2004

Congratulations Senator Castor

Bit allarmed about the Senate exit polls which seem to be from Luntz. However, I am calling Florida for Castor based on official vote counts


%
Reporting
Mel Martinez
(REP)
Betty Castor
(DEM)
Dennis Bradley
(VET)
Peter Blass
(WRI)
Rachele Fruit
(WRI)
Mark Stufft
(WRI)
Nancy Travis
(WRI)
Total
822,960 756,235 40,646 0 0 0 0
Percent17.5% 50.8% 46.7% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%


Huh they show Marinez ahead. Yeah but look at this


%
Reporting
Bush Cheney
(REP)
Kerry Edwards
(DEM)
Peroutka Baldwin
(CPF)
Badnarik Campagna
(LIB)
Cobb LaMarche
(GRE)
Harris Trowe
(SWP)
Brown Herbert
(SPF)
Nader Camejo
(REF)
Total
1,158,153 971,176 1,525 3,906 1,021 584 712 9,996
Percent23.0% 53.9% 45.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%


Castor minus Marinez - (kerry - Bush) = 4.7%. Seems that Republican precincts have reported first. I am quite sure that Bush will not win Florida by 4.7 % (I stand by prediction that Kerry will win Florida). Thus I call it for Senator Castor. Am I the first? May I call you Betty ?

Update: Looks like I wiffed this one too. Martinez appears to have won. Sorry Ms Castor

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