tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post8403053398119907994..comments2024-03-29T06:05:04.162+01:00Comments on Robert's Stochastic thoughts: Roberthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14455788499385673507noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post-35987620851110108362021-06-02T01:24:17.097+02:002021-06-02T01:24:17.097+02:00"the vaccine is roughly 95% effective, that i..."the vaccine is roughly 95% effective, that is roughly 95% of people who got Covid 19 during the trial were participants who received the placebo"<br /><br />It doesn't mean that at all. It means that people in the vaccine arm of the trial got symptomatic Covid-19 at 5% of the rate of people in the placebo arm.<br /><br />Like a stopped clock being right twice a day, your explanation roughly matches the numbers only because 1) the two arms were roughly the same size and 2) the efficacy was within spitting distance of 100%. Under your definition, 50% efficacy would mean the vaccine was no better than placebo, but that situation would actually be called 0% efficacy.<br />Brian Holtzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18284822676116941984noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post-13381230643647562642021-01-17T22:09:08.372+01:002021-01-17T22:09:08.372+01:00@ JimV
Certainly doesn't moderate them, and t...@ JimV <br />Certainly doesn't moderate them, and they aren't easy to read, but someone may still see them.<br /><br />This post struck me as weaker than usual (even though in theory they're all supposed to be weak). Haven't read the rebuttal, but I think I can imagine.<br /><br />Some valid criticism of the FDA/CDC in there apart from the statistical side. But one can follow Branswell or Garrett or Maxmen or even the mild mannered Frieden for that sort of thing ...<br /><br />Meanwhile Azar is taking his last few minutes to lie his head off. Dog bites man.glcnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post-67994810466464053262020-12-31T03:13:52.005+01:002020-12-31T03:13:52.005+01:00Speaking of Dr. Gelman's blog, and I know you ...Speaking of Dr. Gelman's blog, and I know you don't read comments, but your position has been rebutted here:<br /><br />https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/12/29/bugs-bunny-asks-one-dose-or-two/JimVhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10198704789965278981noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post-57029893041995359352020-12-26T19:40:29.508+01:002020-12-26T19:40:29.508+01:00Andrew Gelman (whose blog I recommend) has long be...Andrew Gelman (whose blog I recommend) has long been explaining that null-hypothesis testing is not a good way to make statistical inferences. Show the data, explain the model, and give the confidence interval. That is all ye know and all ye should know. (I'm paraphrasing.)JimVhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10198704789965278981noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post-87342475551357923592020-12-25T21:40:07.862+01:002020-12-25T21:40:07.862+01:00شركة مكافحة حشرات بالرياض
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