tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post7692404697461650337..comments2024-03-19T09:15:17.856+01:00Comments on Robert's Stochastic thoughts: Get the Lead Out IIIRoberthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14455788499385673507noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post-37146381945702802462013-07-13T04:21:09.966+02:002013-07-13T04:21:09.966+02:00The peak of UK violent crime came in 2006/7 (I don...The peak of UK violent crime came in 2006/7 (I don't know why they don't use calender years) so between one and two years before the date I predicted.<br /><br />Amusingly, this means that, with hindsight, I now know the peak had occured just before I made the prediction. Since there is a long lag between the crimes and the compilation of the statistics, the peak rate had not been recorded yet when I made the prediction. The fact that it was the peak only became known when lower rates were reported for later periods. Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14455788499385673507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3621026.post-60182803269331543972013-07-09T10:52:07.414+02:002013-07-09T10:52:07.414+02:00So when was the peak?So when was the peak?reasonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10958786975015285323noreply@blogger.com